Owns SKU and retailer demand forecasting, new product launch projections, forecast accuracy and bias metrics, lifecycle planning, and S&OP participation. Analyzes sell-through, variance drivers, cannibalization, and inventory risks while collaborating with Supply Planning, Sales, Marketing, Finance, and retailers. Uses statistical and AI/ML forecasting tools to improve accuracy and provides actionable insights to senior stakeholders.
Demand Planning Manager
Job Summary
The Demand Planning Manager analyzes demand signals for products to effectively drive the Supply Chain and provide an accurate demand plan to guide the wholesale (shipment) sales plan and retail sales plan. The Manager plays a role in the Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) process by collaborating with the Supply Planning, Sales, Marketing, and Finance teams to ensure alignment between the forecast and financial plans.
Key Responsibilities
Forecasting & Analytics
- Own the monthly SKU/retailer forecasting process, applying statistical forecasting models (e.g., exponential smoothing, causal/regression-based methods) alongside market and retailer-specific inputs
- Lead new product forecasting, including initial sell-in projections, launch phasing, post-launch tracking, and category contribution analysis
- Assess new launch impact on existing products for cannibalization risk or complementary growth
- Own forecast accuracy and bias metrics (e.g., WAPE/MAPE) against defined targets; drive root-cause analysis and continuous improvement
- Assess actual sell-through vs. plan, identify variance drivers, and translate findings into forward forecast revisions
Cross-Functional Engagement
- Participate in S&OP and business review forums, presenting demand insights, scenario analyses, and tactical recommendations to senior stakeholders
- Develop close working relationships with key retailers, providing inventory feedback and collaborating on joint forecasting where applicable
Process & Systems
- Own end-to-end product lifecycle planning, including phase-in/phase-out timing and inventory risk mitigation at end-of-life
- Provide input to Supply Planning on inventory strategy discussions
- Leverage AI/ML-driven forecasting and analytics tools to improve forecast accuracy, automate routine analysis, and surface demand insights faster, while applying business judgment to validate, adjust, or override AI-generated forecasts to ensure they reflect market reality
Qualifications
- 6-8 years of experience within Demand Planning, Sales Planning, or Supply Chain preferred
- Strong Excel skills required; Vanguard experience a plus
- Proven track record owning forecast accuracy metrics and driving measurable improvement
- Strong analytical skills with high attention to detail and the ability to translate data into clear, actionable insights for senior stakeholders
- Experience with demand planning/ERP systems (e.g., SAP IBP, Kinaxis, O9, Anaplan) and BI tools (e.g., Tableau, Power BI)
- Working knowledge of sales strategy and brand positioning
- Flexible, adaptive mindset with the ability to operate in a fast-paced, evolving environment
- Cosmetics or Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) industry experience strongly preferred
Our Perks
- Salary range: $80,000-100,000 (Compensation will depend on a variety of factors, including but not limited to skill level, relevant work experience & education)
- Medical, dental, vision, 401K plan & access to health & wellness programs
- Paid vacation, holidays, summer Fridays, birthdays off, volunteer time & more
- Makeup gratis, employee discount on tarte.com, team give back initiatives
- Friendly, fun, creative & collaborative work environment
Tarte is an equal opportunity employer.
Tarte Cosmetics New York, New York, USA Office
W 36th Street, New York, NY 10018, US, New York, NY, United States, 10018
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